What in the world: predictions for 2026 - The Economist Podcasts Recap

Podcast: The Economist Podcasts

Published: 2026-01-01

Duration: 20 minutes

Guests: Tom Standage

Summary

The episode explores predictions for the year 2026, focusing on geopolitical dynamics, technological advancements like humanoid robots, and new energy technologies.

What Happened

The episode begins with a reflection on the predictions made for 2025, where notable successes included the foresight of China's adaptability to US export controls and the muted economic impact of Trump's tariffs. However, there were also some missed predictions, such as the unexpected political developments in Syria and South Korea.

For 2026, The Economist predicts a solar eclipse and a significant celebration for the 250th anniversary of the Declaration of Independence in the United States. This event is expected to be contentious, with rival organizing committees and even a planned cage fight on the White House lawn, symbolizing the current state of US politics.

The discussion shifts to the geopolitical landscape, highlighting how Europe's current challenges are beneficial for China, positioning it as a stable and reliable partner in global trade. Meanwhile, the US is seen as losing its soft power due to domestic issues, in contrast to China's growing influence through its global brands.

Technological advancements are another focus, with a particular interest in humanoid robots. Although not ready for mass market, these robots are being developed to eventually automate human labor, starting with tasks in factories and homes, as companies gather data to improve their capabilities.

The episode also delves into energy technologies, predicting the launch of the world's largest geothermal station in Utah, driven by the energy demands of big tech companies. This signifies a shift in energy production methods, utilizing techniques from the fracking industry.

In health, the episode anticipates advancements in GLP-1 slimming drugs, which will become more accessible and effective, offering significant health benefits beyond weight loss, such as reducing the risk of various diseases. These drugs are expected to be available in more convenient forms, like pills, which will broaden their reach globally.

Key Insights